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space The PharmSource Blog by Jim Miller: March 2007

Friday, March 30, 2007

Stuck at the Dock?

Can a CMO compete effectively if it does not have reliable sources of water, electricity and communications? Can a CRO conduct clinical trials effectively if it can't move the drug - or the patients - to the clinic?

That's the problem faced by CMOs and CROs in India because of the country's chronic infrastructure problems. In a recent article in Business Week, reporter Steve Hamm spotlights the infrastructure problems that have plagued India in recent years: dilapidated roads, gridlocked air and seaports and a lack of steady electricity production. Infrastructure development has lagged job growth in India, adding substantially to the costs of doing business there. The extra costs include building and operating back-up power generation and water purification systems, long lead times for shipping and receiving goods, the bribes that inevitably get paid to expedite shipments and paperwork.

The lack of infrastructure and associated costs are starting to take a toll on India's competitive position, outweighing the perceived labor cost advantages the country enjoys. Just last year, Intel announced that it had picked Vietnam over India as the site of a new chip assembly plant in large part due to "the lack of reliable power and water in India."

The infrastructure deficit, and its associated costs, is a big factor holding back India's rise in the pharmaceutical services industry. It's a small problem when doing discovery chemistry or processing data from clinical trials, since the work product for these activities generally travels over the internet or in small packages carried by companies like DHL and FedEx.

However, for companies looking to compete for manufacturing services or clinical trials, the inability to move people or shipments in a timely way can be a serious problem. How effective will these companies be if the patients do not keep appointments because it takes them five hours to drive fifty miles? Or if manufactured drugs cannot be shipped out of the country because of a lack of dock space for cargo carriers? Or if clinical trial materials sit in un-refrigerated trucks because of paperwork delays at state borders?

Western CMOs and CROs need to take the competitive threat of low-cost producers in India and China seriously, but it would be a mistake to overestimate their competitiveness. Until India can solve the problems of rolling blackouts and commutes lasting up to four hours, China and Western companies will hold a distinct advantage in the race to capture outsourcing contracts.

Wednesday, March 07, 2007

Patheon Secures Financing

Patheon announced on Friday that they had secured US$150 million from the sale of convertible preferred shares to private equity firm JLL Partners. While this definitely represented "the best available alternative," this private placement is by no means a great deal for Patheon. JLL, which has been described by Yahoo! and Google as "specializing in LBOs and turnarounds," will acquire 25% of the voting rights as well as have the power to elect three of nine board members.

Next up for Patheon is restructuring the company. With 3 members on the 9-member board and significant leverage from its investment, JLL will probably drive a lot of the restructuring decisions. New management is likely to be put into place, as the current CEO, Riccardo Trecroce, is only serving in an acting capacity at present.

Chat rooms reveal that layoffs have been occurring around the company, but Patheon has been very quiet about what other steps will occur during the restructuring. We expect the efforts to be targeted at the Canadian operations as many of the Canadian facilities are aging and under-utilized, taxes are high, and the rise in relative strength of the Canadian dollar as compared to the US dollar has squeezed profits (most of the company's revenues are in US$ while most costs occur in CAD$). Patheon and JLL have plenty of work ahead of them.

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